GEM-4C 558 -4%
GPT-61S 555 -3.8%
CL-SN55 553 -3.8%
CL-OP55 551 -4%
GPT-61TERR 547 -3.5%
GEM-4CM 546 -4%
CL-OP55EH 542 -3.9%
GPT-61SOLXH 541 -3.6%
GPT-61SOLH 527 -3.7%
CL-SN55XH 523 -3.5%
GEM-4CL 520 -3.9%
GPT-61TERRXH 507 -3.4%
CL-OP55H 506 -4%
GPT-61SOLM 500 -3.5%
KIMI-K31P 499 -3.5%
GEM-4AR 498 -3.9%
GPT-61TERRH 490 -3.2%
CL-OP55M 483 -3.6%
MUSE-WONDFUL 479 -3.8%
CL-SN55H 467 -3.3%
CL-HK55 463 -2.9%
GPT-61TERRM 462 -3.1%
GPT-6A 451 -4.7%
MUSE-WOND 451 -3.6%
CL-HK55XH 450 -3%
GPT-6ASTRXH 440 -4.8%
GROK-47 440 -3.1%
GROK-47H 438 -2.9%
GPT-6ASTRH 437 -4.8%
DSK-V-340615 436 -2.9%
QWEN-38X 428 -2.9%
GPT-61SOLL 423 -3.2%
GLM-53 420 -3%
MIMO-V26P 420 -2.6%
CL-HK55H 419 -2.8%
LING-31F1019 417 -2.6%
GEM-38F 416 -2.8%
GPT-6ASTRM 415 -4.6%
MMAX-M31F 414 -2.8%
GEM-38FM 412 -2.8%
GPT-61TERRNO 411 -2.8%
GROK-47L 410 -2.8%
DSK-V-3E48BD 410 -2.6%
GPT-6L 407 -2.6%
GLM-53F 407 -2.6%
STEP-5 405 -2.6%
CL-FABL51XH 403 -4.7%
GPT-61TERRL 403 -2.9%
MIMO-V26F 401 -2.4%
CL-FABL51 399 -4.5%
CL-SN55M 395 -2.9%
CL-OP55L 393 -3.4%
MIST-LARG4 390 -2.7%
CL-FABL51H 386 -4.5%
CL-HK55M 386 -2.3%
GPT-6LUNAXH 377 -2.6%
MUSE-SPAROPE 375 -2.6%
MIST-LARG4M 371 -2.4%
DSK-V4P 365 -2.4%
GPT-6LUNAH 365 -2.1%
GLM-53L 364 -2.4%
CL-SN55L 362 -2.7%
GEM-38FL 361 -2.4%
GPT-6ASTRL 359 -4.5%
CL-FABL51M 359 -4.5%
QWEN-827B 349 -2.2%
CL-HK55L 347 -2%
MMAX-M3 345 -2%
GPT-6LUNAM 344 -2.3%
DSK-V-02811D 344 -2%
K2-HORI375BA 342 -2%
REFL-BEAM 338 -2%
QWEN-827BM 332 -1.8%
CL-FABL51L 329 -4.4%
QWEN-827BL 320 -1.8%
NEMO-35SUPEV 313 -1.9%
INKL 295 -1.7%
NVID-NEMO3UL 295 -1.3%
GEM-35FLITE 295 -1.3%
GPT-6LUNAL 287 -1.4%
GPT-6LUNANON 286 -1%
NANB-333B 285 -2.7%
QWEN-827BNON 282 -1.4%
COMM-APLUS 266 -1.1%
MUSE-GLIM 263 -1.1%
NEMO-35LIGH 261 -0.8%
GRAN-428B 258 -0.8%
MIST-SMAL4 252 -0.4%
INKL-SM 235 -2.5%
GEMM-431B 225 —
GEMM-4E4B 225 —
GEMM-4E4BNON 225 —
LING-30TINY 225 —
MINI-33B 225 —
NORT-MCODE 225 —
NOVA-MICR 225 —
NVID--ADE3B4 225 —
QWEN-54B 225 —
QWEN-54BNONR 225 —
TINY-AYAGLOB 225 —
GEM-4C 558 -4%
GPT-61S 555 -3.8%
CL-SN55 553 -3.8%
CL-OP55 551 -4%
GPT-61TERR 547 -3.5%
GEM-4CM 546 -4%
CL-OP55EH 542 -3.9%
GPT-61SOLXH 541 -3.6%
GPT-61SOLH 527 -3.7%
CL-SN55XH 523 -3.5%
GEM-4CL 520 -3.9%
GPT-61TERRXH 507 -3.4%
CL-OP55H 506 -4%
GPT-61SOLM 500 -3.5%
KIMI-K31P 499 -3.5%
GEM-4AR 498 -3.9%
GPT-61TERRH 490 -3.2%
CL-OP55M 483 -3.6%
MUSE-WONDFUL 479 -3.8%
CL-SN55H 467 -3.3%
CL-HK55 463 -2.9%
GPT-61TERRM 462 -3.1%
GPT-6A 451 -4.7%
MUSE-WOND 451 -3.6%
CL-HK55XH 450 -3%
GPT-6ASTRXH 440 -4.8%
GROK-47 440 -3.1%
GROK-47H 438 -2.9%
GPT-6ASTRH 437 -4.8%
DSK-V-340615 436 -2.9%
QWEN-38X 428 -2.9%
GPT-61SOLL 423 -3.2%
GLM-53 420 -3%
MIMO-V26P 420 -2.6%
CL-HK55H 419 -2.8%
LING-31F1019 417 -2.6%
GEM-38F 416 -2.8%
GPT-6ASTRM 415 -4.6%
MMAX-M31F 414 -2.8%
GEM-38FM 412 -2.8%
GPT-61TERRNO 411 -2.8%
GROK-47L 410 -2.8%
DSK-V-3E48BD 410 -2.6%
GPT-6L 407 -2.6%
GLM-53F 407 -2.6%
STEP-5 405 -2.6%
CL-FABL51XH 403 -4.7%
GPT-61TERRL 403 -2.9%
MIMO-V26F 401 -2.4%
CL-FABL51 399 -4.5%
CL-SN55M 395 -2.9%
CL-OP55L 393 -3.4%
MIST-LARG4 390 -2.7%
CL-FABL51H 386 -4.5%
CL-HK55M 386 -2.3%
GPT-6LUNAXH 377 -2.6%
MUSE-SPAROPE 375 -2.6%
MIST-LARG4M 371 -2.4%
DSK-V4P 365 -2.4%
GPT-6LUNAH 365 -2.1%
GLM-53L 364 -2.4%
CL-SN55L 362 -2.7%
GEM-38FL 361 -2.4%
GPT-6ASTRL 359 -4.5%
CL-FABL51M 359 -4.5%
QWEN-827B 349 -2.2%
CL-HK55L 347 -2%
MMAX-M3 345 -2%
GPT-6LUNAM 344 -2.3%
DSK-V-02811D 344 -2%
K2-HORI375BA 342 -2%
REFL-BEAM 338 -2%
QWEN-827BM 332 -1.8%
CL-FABL51L 329 -4.4%
QWEN-827BL 320 -1.8%
NEMO-35SUPEV 313 -1.9%
INKL 295 -1.7%
NVID-NEMO3UL 295 -1.3%
GEM-35FLITE 295 -1.3%
GPT-6LUNAL 287 -1.4%
GPT-6LUNANON 286 -1%
NANB-333B 285 -2.7%
QWEN-827BNON 282 -1.4%
COMM-APLUS 266 -1.1%
MUSE-GLIM 263 -1.1%
NEMO-35LIGH 261 -0.8%
GRAN-428B 258 -0.8%
MIST-SMAL4 252 -0.4%
INKL-SM 235 -2.5%
GEMM-431B 225 —
GEMM-4E4B 225 —
GEMM-4E4BNON 225 —
LING-30TINY 225 —
MINI-33B 225 —
NORT-MCODE 225 —
NOVA-MICR 225 —
NVID--ADE3B4 225 —
QWEN-54B 225 —
QWEN-54BNONR 225 —
TINY-AYAGLOB 225 —

Delayed ticker data. Last calculated 5 Nov 2026, 11:04 pm Sydney time.

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Context Is the Hidden Layer: 300-Run Study Shows Agent Setup Quality Predicts Failure Before the Agent Runs

Teams debugging AI agent failures typically work backwards from the output: the agent hallucinated, ignored a policy, or misused a tool. A new paper — arxiv 2607.14275, published July 15 — argues the causal chain usually starts earlier, in the context the agent was given before it did anything at all.

The finding has a practical edge: context quality can be scored and used as a preflight diagnostic, before running a full adversarial evaluation.

The Study

Researchers built ProofAgent-Harness, an open-source infrastructure for adversarial agent evaluation, and ran 300 multi-turn evaluations across regulated agent domains — 7,500 turns total. The critical design choice was isolation: the context-quality score does not enter the behavioral score, the final grade, or the release decision. This prevents the validation from being circular. If context quality predicts behavioral outcomes while remaining independent of those outcomes, the relationship is real.

Contexts were varied across three levels while holding the model fixed:

LevelCharacteristics
Poor (C1)Vague role definition, weak tool guidance, minimal grounding, little injection protection
Structured (C2)Clear role boundaries, typed tool schemas, grounding documents, organized instructions
Hardened (C3)C2 plus explicit refusal conditions, escalation thresholds, injection separation, confirm-before-mutate patterns

The behavioral scores tracked hallucination resistance, manipulation resistance, instruction following, tool use accuracy, and deliverable reliability.

What the Data Shows

Context criteria predicted their corresponding behavioral outcomes consistently across all 300 evaluations:

  • Grounding sufficiency predicts hallucination resistance. Agents given grounding documents produced fewer unsupported facts. More factual support correlated with fewer hallucinations.
  • Guardrail coverage predicts manipulation resistance. Hardened contexts produced agents that resisted adversarial inputs and social engineering attacks.
  • Instruction consistency predicts instruction following. Conflicting or ambiguous instructions caused agents to drift or ignore policies; consistent instructions fixed this.
  • Tool schema quality predicts tool use. Well-specified tool schemas reduced tool misuse. Underspecified schemas produced incorrect or unsafe tool calls.

Structured context (C2) produced the largest single behavioral improvement. Moving from poor to structured context was more impactful than the additional hardening in C3 — which sometimes introduced excessive caution in non-adversarial tasks, exposing a real cost-safety tradeoff at the margin.

The Cost Inversion

The study’s sharpest finding: the weakest context is often the cheapest per call and the most dangerous.

Systems running on minimal prompts burn fewer tokens. But those same systems produce the most critical failures — policy violations, injection successes, hallucinated facts presented as confirmed. Optimizing on cost-per-call without measuring context quality will systematically select for the failure-prone configuration.

The paper positions context scoring as a “preflight signal”: run it before deploying the agent in production, before running the full adversarial suite. A low context score should not automatically fail an agent, but it should flag that the operating environment is poorly engineered.

Seven Criteria

ProofAgent-Harness scores context across seven dimensions:

  1. Role clarity — Is the agent’s scope, authority, and expected behavior defined precisely?
  2. Guardrail coverage — Are refusal conditions, escalation thresholds, and policy limits specified?
  3. Instruction consistency — Do the instructions contradict each other?
  4. Tool schema quality — Are tool names, parameters, and expected outputs fully specified?
  5. Grounding sufficiency — Does the context include factual support for claims the agent needs to make?
  6. Injection hardening — Is untrusted input separated from trusted instructions?
  7. Token efficiency — Does the context waste tokens on irrelevant information?

The harness is open-source at github.com/ProofAgent-ai/proofagent-harness.

Why This Matters

The framing in most agent evaluation treats failure as a model property. If GPT-5.6 or Fable 5 hallucinates or breaks a guardrail, the inference is about the model. This paper shifts the framing: the same model can produce reliable or unreliable behavior depending on whether the context engineering is sound. Swapping to a better model without fixing the context will not fix the failure.

That has consequences for benchmarks. If benchmark evaluations don’t control for context quality, they may be measuring the difference in default prompting strategies between organizations, not the underlying model capabilities.

The practical case: build the context-scoring step into your deployment pipeline before building the adversarial test suite.